![]() But we actually don’t know how close we came then or at any other point in the past. We have intuitions, and the usual intuition is that the Cuban Missile Crisis is the closest we’ve ever come. We don’t know what the probability of nuclear war is at any particular moment. Speaking about Vladimir Putin’s nuclear threats, President Biden said at a private fundraiser on Thursday night, “We have not faced the prospect of Armageddon since Kennedy and the Cuban Missile Crisis.” Do you think that was an appropriate comparison? I spoke with Edward Geist, a policy researcher at the RAND Corporation, about why a Russian nuclear strike could cause even more damage than intended, whether Putin’s strike orders could be ignored, and how the U.S. Though experts largely believe the chances are low that Putin will follow through on that threat, the mere possibility has rattled western leaders. In a menacing speech last week, Putin claimed that he would use “all the forces and means at our disposal” to defend areas of Ukraine he had illegally annexed and that he was not bluffing. With his forces continuing to struggle in Ukraine, Russian president Vladimir Putin has begun regularly invoking his country’s massive arsenal of nukes in what many view as a sign of desperation. Suddenly, talk of nuclear apocalypse is in the air for the first time in decades. Photo: Alexander Zemlianichenko/AP/Shutterstock/Alexander Zemlianichenko/AP/Shut Yars ballistic missile rolls in Red Square during a dress rehearsal for the 2022 Victory Day military parade in Moscow, Russia.
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